I really don't believe in analysis and by drawing lines on a certain coin graph, making path and concluding it something.
If you're new to Crypto verse I suggest follow people, now to whether to believe them or not is up to you. I'm more of a hodler than a day trader, but when it comes to profit - gain is gain.
Based on my experience give a coin 4 to 5 months and then keep yourself up to date on SOCIAL news, DEVELOPMENT news. One thing to check if the coin is open-source is on the Git-hub. Even if you're not a technical person, you can view how many committed code there is. How many active code check-ins, bugs can determine if a coin is active on both MARKETING and DEVELOPMENT.