塔勒布是谁?他自己这么说——
Nassim Nicholas Taleb: Flaneur(mostly), trader, and co-founder of the Real World Risk Insitute
纳西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布:漫游者(大部分时间),交易员,以及现实世界风险研究院的联合创始人
详细信息可参见《The Godfather of Incerto》
Incerto 是什么意思?
Incerto 在意大利语、拉丁语、葡萄牙语中都有“不确定”的意思,塔勒布在作品中这样定义——
INCERTO, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision making when we don't understand the world, expressed in the form of a personal essay with autobigraphical sections, sotries, parables, and philosophical, historical, and scientific discussion in no lapping volumes that can be accessed in any order.
INCERTO,当我们不了解世界时,一项关于不透明,运气,不确定性,概率,人为错误,风险和决策的调查,以个人文章的形式表达,包括自传,故事,比喻以及哲学的、历史的和科学的讨论,在精磨卷中它们可以以任何方式获得。
详细信息可参见《What is the Incerto?》
正如他所说 "The main thread is that while there is inordinate uncertainty about what is going on, there is great certainty about what one should do about it."
塔勒布相关的网站
Medium:INCERTO – Medium
现实世界风险研究院:Real World Risk Institute LLC
塔勒布个人网站:Nassim Nicholas Taleb Home & Professional Page
Academia: Nassim Nicholas Taleb - Academia.edu(可以获取他的公开书籍)
twitter:Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) | Twitter
维基资料:Nassim Nicholas Taleb - Wikipedia
希望你学会从网站域名来辨别其可信度,以增强自身对网络诈骗的反脆弱性。
塔勒布已经出版的书籍
- Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets(2001)
- The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable(2007)
- The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms(2010)
- Antifragile: Things That Gain From Disorder(2012)
- Skin in the Game: Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life(2018)
另外,塔勒布昨天在其 twitter 上公布了自己的新书 REAL-WORLD STATISTICAL CONSEQUENCES OF FAT TAILS,具体见公众号菜单栏。
往期回顾
Incerto Time
Writing is the art of repeating oneself without anyone noticing.
写作就是重复自己的话又不被别人发现的艺术。
如果你喜欢我的文章,欢迎upvote,reply,resteem哦,欢迎关注我的微信公众号:INCERTO