These rules are a synthesis of the best practices collected from investigations of great characters such as: Daniel Kahneman (Nobel Prize).
And without further ado, I just want to emphasize that the main risk to take better decisions is to consider ourselves self-sufficient.
It is a rule that as soon as we have the confidence to know something regular, we become self-reliant, crass error.
Rule 1: Be less sure
It is something that happens more frequently in people specialized or experts in some subject, if you had to eliminate something to take a better decision would be the self-confidence.
It is common for people to rely too much on their criteria, perhaps if you stop and start to evaluate points such as reasoning, the logic of steps you have to perform, you would be much better.
Rule 2: Ask yourself how often it happens
If you are about to do something, like a startup, for example, investigate how often have been the successes or failures of that business.
Courage statistics that help you improve your accuracy, will help you a lot to predict and predict a better future, so that you go to undertake.
Read a lot and inquire about what interests you and form your conclusions about it.
Rule 3: Think probabilistically
Although many fear mathematics, the best businesses use this tool to improve their investments.
Relating to statistical data will help you avoid falling into congnitive traps.
And you do not necessarily have to sit down and learn statistics, look for data that has already been processed and make a decision based on that.
Try to apply this in your life, do not be so confident, evaluate probabilistically and ask yourself how often it happens.
