In this report, I cover the bond market and the sharp rise in yields that we saw in the first week of October 2018.
The U.S Treasury yield soared from 3.05% the previous week to 3.23% on Friday, October 5th while investors and traders sold off bonds.
The focus of this report is to look at the historical picture and show how the trend of decreasing interest rates and growing debts since the early 1980s may have actually ended. What this means is that we could be on the cusp of a trend of rising interest rates and increasing debt defaults.
My conclusion is that despite the apparent health of the U.S. economy there is a much higher probability of the economy being a runaway train than yacht plain sailing into a safe harbor. I also note that for the first time in many years the bond markets and interest rates have come back to life after being put into hibernation by the Central Bankers.
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