The Benner Cycle has been pretty accurate at predicting the peaks and troughs of the S&P 500 going back decades. In fact, as this video shows, if you were to have followed it since the 70s, you would have beaten the S&P 500, which as you know, is quite hard to do over long periods of time.
Most of that gain comes from selling right before the GFC occured and some decent timing when it comes to the dot-com bubble. Anyway, enough about the past.
What's interesting is that it is predicting that the market is due for a correction in 2027 and that we should probably sell some time in 2026, at the very latest by the end of the year. Personally, we are starting to see the first signs of this mega AI rally starting to peter out. The tech is impressive but it's not really achieving much. And if we displace all our workers, who is going to be buying all the stuff we want to sell?
Let's revisit this at the end of 2027.