I know my answer is wrong btw, I just wanted to take a completely different and more fun approach to the question since it was one where you could look at honest probabilities.

hore qentba vf pbeerpg. v jnvgrq hagvy fbzrbar pbzzragrq pbeerpgyl orsber nqqvat zl nofheq pbzzrag, gung jnl gurer v xarj sbe pregnva gung zl cnlbhg jbhyq trg unaqrq gb fbzrbar!