A few hours ago Prigozhin, the head of Wagner group with tens of thousands of soldiers has made a statement that he is marching on Moscow to deal with traitors in the Russian ministry of defense, to "punish" the military, "restore justice". Urges military to not try and stop him, threatens to kill anyone who will try.
For months now, Prigozhin has criticized the Russian army but a few days ago came out and directly said that many of those claims by Russian propagandists (conspiracy theorists in the west, russian gov. funded media, right wing extremists, twitter grifters) were bullshit. He criticized the justification for the war. Specifically the lies about Ukraine bombing Donbas, the lies about the threat from Ukrainian invasion of Russia.
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1672157866222923781
- NOELreports
After posting that video, according to his claims, the Russian army attacked the Wagner group and killed a significant number of his fighters, apparently in retaliation.
That prompted him to make another audio statement where he proclaimed that he is marching on Moscow to deal with the head of the Russian armed forces.
https://twitter.com/sumlenny/status/1672314821436383245
- sumlenny
This has all been happening in the last few hours. In the meantime...
-FSB has issued an arrest warrant.
-Prigozhin has been blocked from Russian social media.
-According to some accounts only 25% of Russians right now have access to Google.
-There are some claims that Prigozhin has already crossed into Russia with his army (Crossed the Rubikon) and is currently in Rostov on Don. There are some videos circulating of fighter jets being in the air.
https://twitter.com/igorsushko/status/1672402643787071490
- igorsushko
This is all happening right now and its hard to confirm everything so take all this with reasonable skepticism.
Many people want this to be true so they might exaggerate significance of events. Others are rooting for Russia and will downplay it.
Ill update this post as I find new stuff.
UPDATE1:
Apparently the Wagnerites have shot down a Russian army helicopter in Rostov.
https://twitter.com/igorsushko/status/1672410393833242625
- igorsushko
UPDATE2:
https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1672424012666765312
- Tendar
Its hard to tell whose vehicles these are but based on solely their movement there is obvious haste present.
UPDATE3:
https://twitter.com/i/status/1672428857771556864
- i
Wagnerites?? entering MOI
UPDATE4:
Claims that parts of regular Russian military have joined Wagner and are moving forward together.
UPDATE4:
Wagner moving fast towards Moscow. Some more footage in Voronezh.
https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1672538169093369857?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1672538169093369857%7Ctwgr%5Ef999942e46524e7a76c5ec49e7e8f3df25d06ef6%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.index.hr%2Fvijesti%2Fclanak%2Fvideo-helikopter-gadja-skladiste-nafte-u-voronjezu%2F2474033.aspx
- bayraktar_1love
UPDATE5:
https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1672542184006901761
- bayraktar_1love
Footage of a Russian plane shot down over Voronezh.
UPDATE6:
Zelensky commented on the situation an hour ago.
https://twitter.com/ZelenskyyUa/status/1672543858863767552
- ZelenskyyUa
UPDATE7:
One of the first ground attacks happened. Cant confirm if Wagner or Russian military.
Reminding you to always question absolute statements on what is actually happening in specific videos as we dont have all the information right now.
https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1672556043157528576
- Tendar
UPDATE8:
https://twitter.com/i/status/1672562123489280001
- i
Claims of firefights. People walking down the street. They need to GET INSIDE!
Russians have been passive the whole invasion, they should maintain that passive behavior, stay inside and avoid getting shot.
UPDATE9:
Highways towards Moscow blocked with dump trucks. Some chatter about Russian military threatening to blow the bridges if Wagner tries to enter Moscow.
https://twitter.com/EetuSeppnen1/status/1672553231061336065
- EetuSeppnen1
UPDATE10:
Russian presidency plane up in the air. Unknown if Putin is on the run.
https://twitter.com/WarMonitors/status/1672571334214275075
- WarMonitors
UPDATE11:
Some reports out that Lukashenko left Belarus last night.
UPDATE12:
Russian top propagandist that is based in Russia, Solovyov came out with a statement. He isnt his chipper self. It will be interesting to see which side he takes.
Im still waiting on Tucker Carlson to make a statement himself.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1672508557156052992
- i
UPDATE13:
Wagner breaking through barricades towards Moscow with ease.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1672603695916236805
- i
UPDATE14:
Rumors that Ukraine will allow Russian military to peacefully leave their positions in Ukraine to go back to Russia.
UPDATE15:
Wagner enters MOSCOW OBLAST:
UPDATE16:
Current state on the Ukranian front:
https://twitter.com/MDF_Russia/status/1672585128369876995
- MDF_Russia
UPDATE17:
Medvedev, former president of the Russian federation apparently came out with a statement condemning the attempted coup.
https://twitter.com/Faytuks/status/1672624098059354112
- Faytuks
UPDATE18:
Reports on a potential coup in Belarus to depose Lukashenko. A public statement will be made soon by Belarus dissidents. It is unknown how potent this threat is to the Lukashenko dictatorship.
https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1672618934418243585
- Gerashchenko_en
UPDATE19:
https://twitter.com/casusbellintel/status/1672610658095882240
- casusbellintel
More attempts to slow Wagner movement. This is reported to be on a road to Moscow. Very strange attempt since most of the Wagner military vehicles are able to go off-road.
UPDATE20:
https://twitter.com/igorsushko/status/1672635115506372609
- igorsushko
The founder of the Russian volunteer corps who is anti-Putin and fighting on the side of Ukraine has shown support for Prigozhin.
UPDATE21:
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1672642236012544000
- NOELreports
Based on Russian sources Ukraine seems to be moving across the Dnipro river near Antonovsky bridge and attacking Russian forces.
UPDATE22:
Reports coming in of Prigozhin making a deal with Putin to pull back from marching onto Moscow. Nothing confirmed yet but we might see a stabilization in Russian ranks.
https://twitter.com/ShaykhSulaiman/status/1672663426802515968
- ShaykhSulaiman
UPDATE23:
At this point it seems Russia has averted the potential collapse of their country. We need to listen in to what happens going forward. How will Prigozhin be dealt with? Some reports coming in of assassination attempt on his life. Russia has apparently promised to drop charges against Wagner if they turn back.
What does this mean for the future efforts in Ukraine?
As it stands now, this major destabilization of Russia is a win for Ukraine.
We seem to be coming to a current de-escalation of hostilities between Wagner and Russia leadership. Wagner has apparently shot down a number of helicopters and planes in Russia but will receive an amnesty for it. How long it will last and how truthful it is will be seen in the coming future from the both sides.