I think it will for one simple reason:

All factors can't (yet) be quantified, and every blind spot increases the risk that a sampling bias in your data will generate incorrect results. AI models may map close to reality, but those hidden variables will always make over-dependence on them risky. As nation states lean more and more on the advice of computers and less on a human understanding of the complexities of geopolitics, we risk miscalculated plays kicking off a causal chain that could lead to nuclear war with the wrong leaders in power at the wrong time.