Froome says he's coming into this tour fresher and hungrier than past years. But without a win this season, we don't really know how his fitness is. Could be awesome, but could be not so great. I doubt Contador will be second. He doesn't have the desire he once did. Top five if he finishes, but not second. Nairo will be a force if he's recovered from the Giro, his setback there could be enough motivation to get the top step. But Richie Port may be in the best position to take Froome out. He knows how Froome races, but is his form on point for a win? Bardet and Valverde can be outside picks, but not for the top step.

1. Port
2. Froome
3. Quintana
4. Bardet
5. Contador

That's my top 5 as of now. We still have a couple days till the start and things can change. But I think I'll stick with this.