UFC 274
* I cap mostly for fun. I currently have a negative ROI with my sports capping.
Donald Cerrone (1.584) VS Joe Lauzon (2.470)
Both fighters are fighting well past their prime at this stage of their careers. I feel like Lauzon can win a decision if Cerrone's takedown defense is bad but this is a MUST WIN for Cerrone as he's old and has not had a win in his last six fights. I think Cerrone knows this so I'm picking the more desperate man.
My pick is the Donald Cerrone moneyline.
Tony Ferguson (3.92) vs Michael Chandler (1.269)
Oh how the mighty have fallen. Ferguson is a HUGE underdog here. At one time he had an incredibly long 12 fight win streak in the lightweight division and was regarded as arguably the best lightweight. Him and Khabib.
Then the Justin Gaethje fight happened and it went all straight to hell. I can understand losses to Gaethje and Oliveira, the best of the lightweight division. The loss to Beneil Dariush though is more disappointing. Still, I'm picking Ferguson for this fight.
Not because I think he's favored to win but that he might win and the underdog odds seem really high to me. I actually had to do a double take at the odds when I first looked at it. Wish it was five rounds and not three but I still think Ferguson has an underdog's chance if this fight stays standing.
My pick is the Tony Ferguson moneyline.