- When will the bear market end ?
- Is ICOs investing still profitable or is it better to switch my investment into Bitcoin and Etherium ?
- what's my investing strategy ?
In today's Article with you guys I'm going to be as open and honest as possible and share my personal views on all of these questions so jump to the first question
When will the bear market end?
This is actually the easiest question to answer because the answer is I don't know no investor in the entire world can predict market movements not just cryptocurrencies but regular financial markets as well if you want proof of that simply look at the best investor of all time "Warren Buffett" he says himself , he has no clue where the market is going move in the short term bear in mind that he's the best investor of all time if someone else was able to predict the markets then surely they would be better than him
Is investing into ICOs still profitable?
The answer is yes, and no as well you can definitely still make some profits by investing into ICOs but there are fewer ICOs going up in value than they used to, and those which do, are going up less so yes you can still make profit.But no it's fair to write you're not able to make as much profit now as was possible in the past.
I'm going to write some random numbers out here now these are just off the top of my head I'm not really saying these are exactly same as written. I haven't got this from anywhere but it is my experience I believe they're probably only around three percent of I CEOs are still profitable, It may sound like a crazy crazy low number. I'll explain why?
First when I look up and I see ICOs, immediately eliminate 90% of them because this ICO space is utterly ridiculous there are so many terrible projects out there I'd say 90% immediately I just eliminate. The remaining 10% I'd say 7 percent used to be profitable but aren't huge, and that leaves you with probably just around about 3%.
Before I move on to explain why ICOs investing is now less profitable I would like to clarify once Now I'm describing in terms of US dollars I'm not talking in terms of ETH. Therefor if someone believe like the ETH is going to increase in value so again the best strategy is to accumulate as much as possible, these icos are still profitable but not in terms of US dollar right now. So I wanted to make that clarification because this point comes up a couple more times in this article so please bear this in mind throughout this article.
Now I will explain about why ICOs are now less profitable than they once were at their ridiculous peak. The answer isn't exactly rocket science the whole market is down and everything is relative. It's been very difficult to make money by investing into the bear market, So obviously it's also going to be very difficult to make money investing into ICOs.
Well if we look at a historical snapshot at the start of this year it becomes pretty obvious let's look at hypothetical project with a token sale cap of 30 million dollars to keep our example simple no bonuses or anything like that for our money to double so if I invest $1 for that to go to $2 the market cap have to double so for that's going from 30 million dollars to 60 million dollars at the beginning of the year 60 million dollars you have to jump into the market at position 267 as shown in picture because we can see here the position 267 on 7, January was just above that sixty million dollar.
Now let's jump ahead to the day and look at these figures if we're still expecting same return then means we're still looking for a sixty million dollar cap but now that puts the position at a hundred and forty one so rather than being around two hundred and seventy the we're looking at one hundred fourty that's twice as high in the market to achieve the same return. I say everything is relative it's better to compare the positions in the market more so than the actual market caps to achieve the same return if you need twice as higher position it's obviously gonna be harder to make profit by investing into ICOs will this always be the case have we now.
Did we miss the opportunity to make money by investing into ICOs?
Well as I said number one there is still a very small section of ICO's the best ones which are still very profitable but number two this all changes once again if projects change their ICO cap so as an investor I'm simply looking at the percentage return if I double my money I don't really care if that means the hard cap increase from thirty million dollars to sixty million dollars or if it increased from fifteen million to thirty million.For me 2x return has immense importance, and obviously as an investor that's the only thing I'm concerned with.So if we look at today's market and we scroll down let's go back to that hypothetical ICO and now launching in today's market conditions so they're smart they understand you're not gonna raise thirty million dollars in the current market conditions but you might be able to raise ten million dollars instead. if they decide to go down that route and have a cap of ten million dollars I only need them to increase to 20 million for me to double my money.
Look at the coin market cap twenty million dollars is position 283 in the market so very similar to what sixty million dollars used to be.What I'm getting at here is that if the same hypothetical ICOs lowers their caps they can still come into the market at same position number and I'm able to double my investment because they've lowered that cap. So ICO investing is currently not that profitable but it could all change once again if projects decide to lower their caps. Are they going do? that I don't know. it's impossible for anyone to say it.
Once again I would say there's a lot of projects which are currently talking about delaying their ICOs until more favorable market conditions so definitely a lot of projects aren't going t0 be consider this option(Reducing HardCap), but some projects which want to push ahead immediately will consider this as an option. So I believe we're probably see fewer ICOs, while more choosing to delay, but if some projects do lower their caps we'll still have those great investing opportunities.
Is it better to invest into Bitcoin or ETH instead of ICOs?
There are a lot of people saying that this is a better investing strategy as ICO investing is very hard to make money at this point in time I have a few different responses and I will explain in next episode how to manage your funds in bear market, Off course the burning question the day It too late here, haven't energy to discuss more,
I will continue right from here, Please give your feed back and will answer your all question in comments box.
Best of luck dear mates
