[SteemMonsters] What is the NPV of a Beta Pack?

We were having a discussion on the discord chat last night about the value of a pack.

Some were saying that they aren't worth buying right now with the way market prices are. Others were saying that the chance for a gold foil legend or just the fun of it outweigh the low market value cards.

But I think both are missing the key factor that packs are going to determine airdrops in the future.

Hive account@aggroed has already told us that there are going to be some additional summoners airdropped. We also know that items are coming at some point, and I imagine they will also be airdropped over the existing population.

Let's say the current market value of a 2 USD pack in terms of cards produced is 1.50. It's probably somewhere around there, though @JARVIE would have more exact numbers. Is the net present value (NPV) of those future airdrops more than 0.50?

I think so.

What I don't know is whether quest and season rewards packs will count towards those airdrops. I tend to think so, but I don't know for sure.