I've got a couple of prediction markets open for Weili vs. Rose on the Hive blockchain via dublup.io. My post about them is over here.
Odds are currently pretty good for Rose by submission if you've got a few extra Hive that you want to gamble with. My money is on Weili by KO, but I'm thinking I should get more shares of Weili by points. I think your analysis is fair, but I'm too much of a Weili fanboy to listen to sense.
RE: UFC 261 Prediction