Login
Discover
Waves
Decks
Plus
Login
Signup
Pasha
@pasha-kamyshev
30
Followers
72
Following
2
Resource Credits
Available
Used
Created
January 11, 2018
RSS Feed
Subscribe
Posts
Blog
Posts
Comments
Communities
Wallet
pasha-kamyshev
covid19
2020-03-14 23:35
Better Estimates of Covid19 death rates
What is the real death rate of Covid-19? I want to estimate the per-age fatality rate of different countries: China, South Korea and Italy. South Korea has 72 deaths and 8086 cases for an overall CFR of
$ 0.043
1
pasha-kamyshev
coronavirus
2020-03-09 02:02
Basic Coronavirus Predictions
Attempting to predict things is hard, especially about the future. Right now I am doing some very rough estimates of where I expect things to be in two weeks. (on 3/22/2020) South Korea: The outbreak in
$ 0.000
0
pasha-kamyshev
rationality
2018-11-12 07:17
Post-Rationality and Rationality, A Dialogue
A dialogue between R (rationalist) and P (post-rationalist) Any resemblance of these fictional characters to real people is not a coincidence because nothing is ever really a coincidence. R: I sincerely
$ 0.000
6
2
pasha-kamyshev
rationality
2018-08-27 06:05
Aumann’s Agreement Revisited
This post is about reviewing some of the slightly counter-intuitive conclusions that Baysean probability theory has on agreement between people’s probabilities about the same belief. You have probably
$ 0.000
2
pasha-kamyshev
ai
2018-04-27 06:14
Double Cruxing the AI Foom debate
This post is generally in response to both Paul Christiano’s post and the original foom debate. I am trying to find the exact circumstances and conditions which would point to fast or slow AI takeoff.
$ 0.000
3
pasha-kamyshev
fermiparadox
2018-04-22 00:42
Fermi Paradox
This post has two parts. First, I outline some way to evaluate arguments about the Fermi paradox which show ways that it is unlikely to be solved by, as well as some common arguments against the Early
$ 0.000
3
pasha-kamyshev
cryptocurrency
2018-02-18 21:38
Efficient Market Hypothesis Explained
You may have not have heard about the Efficient Markets Hypothesis or wondered how it would apply to different assets classes. However, if you have been in investing, you probably have heard at least some
$ 0.000
1
pasha-kamyshev
cryptocurrency
2018-01-29 04:38
On Crypto and The Classification Bubble
The post "How an Algorithm Feels from the Inside” is one the highlights of rationality. It has a lot packed into it, so here is my take on it. There is a program in your brain. I call it
$ 0.166
5
2
pasha-kamyshev
introduction
2018-01-29 04:21
Introduction
Hello, my name is Pasha. I am a software developer currently at Microsoft interested in cryptocurrency, rationality and AI Safety. My links: Life In A Free Market Twitter LinkedIn All opinions are my own
$ 0.340
11
14