After almost a couple weeks of break, it has taken Smallsteps 3 days back at daycare for her to get a flu again - but you know, masks stop the spread of Corona, just not other flus... It is pretty tiring and I am up with her singing, trying to get her to relax enough to fall back to sleep. So many nights over the last 5 years have been spent like this.
Tomorrow is a public holiday for the Epiphany, whatever that is, and we had a lake walk and sausage grill planned, but that isn't happening now and it looks like the last half of my work leave, is going to be spent inside the home - just for something different.
I am going a bit stir-crazy.
Not that we can do so much anyway, since everywhere is demanding a Corona Passport, which I don't have. Pretty sure that mental health issues are going to increase based on this period of time, as there are all kinds of conditions that will affect it and, all age groups. Perhaps that is going to be the conversation of the next decade - all of the problems caused and the associated costs in how this was all handled at the global scale. But, governments and corporations aren't very good at reflecting on their behavior, nor learning from it.
I haven't been able to pay much attention, but it looks like the markets have gone for a slide down the slippery slope again, though they are bouncing back a little now - though it is likely just a dead cat. That isn't so bad though, but CUB took an absolute hammering and dropped to 30 cents now. I claimed the yield that has been sitting there collecting and, added it into the CUB/BUSD pool - in for a penny, in for a pound. One of the things that has been a little frustrating with CUB is the scheduling post-announcement - I am patient, but it feels like the announcements are a little early.
Thankfully, I have already got my credits put away for the Splinterlands purchase and "most" of the potions I will need to open them. I did this about a month back when Hive was up a bit and was questioning the move (as it can't be converted back), but now it looks pretty good. Though the packs at $4 each are going to have to yield some pretty good cards to break even at the current market prices.
So far, I have had almost zero luck with my opens and out of 1453 packs, I have only managed to pull TWO Gold Foil Legendaries. I know other people who are averaging 1:300 packs or better on mass openings and I am 1:725 - What a crock!! At this rate, I will be lucky to get 3 out of the 2400 packs I plan on purchasing. Oh well...
The other interesting thing to note is going to be how much HIVE comes back onto the platform for the snapshots of Ragnarok and the Speak Network tomorrow - last I saw a few hours back, was in the last few days, almost 3 million has been transferred in. That isn't a huge amount, but is still significant - though there is a lot more out there.
I also wonder how this is affecting the prices of CUB and Splinterlands assets too, as I suspect that since these things are largely inward Hive-facing, people are shuffling value into HIVE from other tokens and then plan to move back again after the snapshot. The dip in the markets might mean that they are going to have to wait, unless they are taking a loss on the HIVE, in the hope the new assets airdropped will make up more than the difference.
I did bring what I had back on platform, but I didn't have that much. However, with a 0.1 HIVE (14 cents) transfer fee from the exchange and zero to go back, those airdropped tokens are going to have to be near valueless to make a loss on the move. I suspect they will be worth something but I also expect that like normal, there are going to be a lot of dumpers in the early days, meaning that if they are able to build value, it will take a while.
It is funny, as while it is "free money" which is why people dump, this happens on so many tokens and the people who can afford to hold or buy the dip, end up benefiting down the track - while the free-money people end up losing their potential. OF course, some tokens will never go anywhere, so in that case, dumping makes sense - however, if it really is "free money* you may as well take the risk on the future - or at least taking a hybrid approach and selling part and keeping part.
Right, now my daughter woke up again, so I will kill it here and sooth her back to sleep with some songs. She normally goes pretty fast back, probably to avoid having to hear me sing any longer than she must.
Taraz
[ Gen1: Hive ]