Just one question, how are you calculating your risk/reward ratio... this seems pretty key to the whole thing so more info on this would be great! Great question @marcusbraeburn! The risk-reward ratio

101 - X 102 - 2 103 - 2

Laughed out loud at the “downvoted his own shitpost” bit :)

So it must be Tunisia? :)

Morocco? Welcome @sarcastic.taco :)

101 - X 201 - 1 301 - Over 401 - X

101 - Over 201 - X 301 - X

Bet of the week result: LOSS ✖ BetOddsStakeResultP/L Brighton +2 (AH)2.081pt4-0-1 A deserved victory from Liverpool. Even now they still impress me, as most teams would have been happy with a 1-0/2-0 knowing

Great post @numpypython! Looking at how teams have performed at certain odds ranges is something I do often. I haven't figured out yet whether it's better to use odds ranges or current league position,

Brazil 12 Germany 11 France 10 Spain 9 England 8 Colombia 7 Denmark 6 Iceland 5 Egypt 4 Serbia 3 Japan 2 Morocco 1 159 goals

101 - X 201 - 1 301 - Over 401 - X

Burnley Under 2.5 Huddersfield +1 B&H Albion +2 Newcastle +1 Tottenham Under 3.25

503 - Over 602 - Under 701 - Under

I think that's a fair variation, and I do think with Newcastle they are absolutely capable of shutting teams down and getting away draws. At this stage of the season it's extremely difficult to predict

B&H Albion +0.75 Leicester -0.25 WBA +1.25 Huddersfield +2.75 Burnley +1

Yep, it was disappointing from them, but perhaps understandable given the crucial CL semi final coming up on Wednesday. The team itself wasn't too bad, but in hindsight I think the players subconsciously

Great post! Everyone has losing runs, so it's important to stake appropriately. Example: In the last month I've been tracking my inplay football bets, I've been betting at average odds of 2.38 (implied

Thanks @beat-the-bookies! I'll try to maintain this good run of form :).

Thanks @kryptocek! Will most likely post some picks today :).

Yes, it's unlikely all will finish unders but the predictions are simply based on most probable score. My advice is if you want to use these expectancies to predict "Overs", use the Tot G column,