Around August of every year, I usually write a piece on Singapore for the year ahead. This time, things are a little bit different. I look further ahead and look at some of the strategic issues that might

I see the main trends having to do with the capacity of states to be coherent and capable to handle the various other possible disruptions, and the extent they are able to cooperate with each other. Southeast

India's certainly has the potential to be a major geopolitical power. It's economy - already one of the largest in the world, will continue to grow if it does not engage in large scale conflict with its

This time I look at scenarios for the United States and what that might mean for the world. First of all, domestic situation and foreign policies are somewhat linked. As we saw with China’s case, domestic

Yesterday, the Secretary of State Mike Pompeo says the US will support the various countries in their competing claims with China. Although this is too little too late, this symbolic escalation allows

I just read today that the US has ended Hong Kong's special trade status, and that firms operating in Hong Kong will be subjected to China's level of tariffs. This is a big deal, as it means that trade

The Economist covered Africa in a positive light, but aware of the various issues. A nice change of tone.

The Singapore government, not the most radical institution in the world, just published their last and final report on their experimentation with distributed ledgers. The Singapore government will probably

A concept map to explain why the China's ageing population could be a driving factor for crises in the future. This basically suggests that there are no silver bullets to address this - this is a structural

I'm most familiar with the techniques for scenario planning. In scenario planning, there is usually a question we want to look at, such as, for instance, what's the future of US-China relations? Supposing

Consider a contribution to the Patreon: to support more analysis like this. Preliminaries Geopolitical tensions will only continue to increase in the decades to come in Asia. Beneath the headlines we see

This is a re-post from this website: The country to watch for 2040 is China. Although this might be obvious, there is more to this than meets the eye. The obvious notion that China is the country to watch

I'm interested in longer-term trends, so I tend to look at news events through the lens of larger and structural issues. I intend to write about events today and what they mean, to give people some sense