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@statsplit
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Using numbers irresponsibly
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2017-09-12 14:53
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statsplit
Statheads
2020-04-01 01:03
Model Madness 2020: Update, Conclusion
Brief Summary to Model Madness 2020
$ 0.872
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statsplit
Statheads
2020-03-12 01:56
Model Madness 2020: Remaining Tournaments
So, there are three more tournaments to cover before conference tournament season is fully started and the NCAA tournament gets sorted out. We're four days out from Selection Sunday so over the weekend
$ 1.604
412
statsplit
Statheads
2020-03-11 02:47
Model Madness 2020: Major Conference + Wednesday Tournaments
Today is a huge day. We are covering nine different tournaments including several major tournaments. Since there's a lot to cover, let's get right into things! Big 12 Conference Last Year's Champion: Iowa
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statsplit
Statheads
2020-03-10 02:05
Model Madness 2020: ACC, Tuesday Tournaments Preview
Today, we're covering the four tournaments that take place on Tuesday including the start of the ACC tournament, one of the major conferences that has multiple teams fighting for spots in the tournament
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statsplit
Statheads
2020-03-09 01:19
Model Madness 2020: EDM "Contra" Model
Today, we will be covering our "fifth" model which is an extension of one the models from 2019 but with different goals and objectives. Since it partially uses contrarian selection (the intentional
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statsplit
Statheads
2020-03-07 02:52
Model Madness 2020: Weekend Tournaments Preview
Today we're covering the tournaments set to start this weekend through the lens of the now four models we have at our disposal. As always, I'll talk about the teams that have a realistic shot of winning
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statsplit
Statheads
2020-03-06 02:40
Model Madness 2020: Win Ratios Iterator Model
Today, we're going to cover the first new model developed for Model Madness 2020. Hopefully this model adds some much needed diversity to our model set that has had a decent amount of agreement over the
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statsplit
Statheads
2020-03-05 00:36
Model Madness 2020: Thursday Tournaments Preview
Today we're going to cover the Missouri Valley Conference and West Coast Conference tournaments that are starting on Thursday. In addition to analyzing the top teams in each conference, I'll cover which
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statsplit
Statheads
2020-03-04 01:53
Model Madness 2020: Wednesday Tournaments Preview
Today, we going to preview the three conference tournaments that start on Wednesday using the models that were used yesterday. Same format as yesterday, so expect a brief analysis of the best teams in
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statsplit
Statheads
2020-03-03 03:14
Model Madness 2020: Tuesday Tournaments Preview
So, today we going to preview the four conference tournaments that start tomorrow through the lens of the different models we have. Of course, I'll share which teams the models like, which teams are expected
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statsplit
Statheads
2020-03-02 01:28
Model Madness 2020: Introduction
Last year, I faced impossible odds. I had a 1 in 9.2 quintillion shot of scoring myself a perfect bracket. And I fell miserably short. All four models I developed picked the wrong team in the first game
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statsplit
sports
2019-05-19 19:25
College Football Has A Sampling Problem
Alabama was ranked #1 in the AP Poll at the conclusion of the 2017 season. This was no surprise as they are regularly near the top of the poll and they had just beaten Georgia 26-23 in the national
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1
statsplit
model-madness
2019-04-01 23:46
Model Madness 2019: Final Four Update
This post serves as a brief update to show the latest results of the four models as the basketball tournament continues. Only four teams remain, so it is a good point to which models were good at picking
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statsplit
model-madness
2019-03-26 00:17
Model Madness 2019: Sweet 16 Update
My quest for a prefect bracket ended after one game. All four models picked the wrong team for the first game of the day. Well, that was fun while it lasted. Of course, even though all brackets were broken
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statsplit
model-madness
2019-03-21 02:08
Model Madness 2019: Chasing Perfection, The Road Ahead
So the whole goal of this project was to do one thing: chase perfection. The brackets have been filled out. Now all there is left to do is wait. I have decided to run the four models that I went over during
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statsplit
model-madness
2019-03-20 01:46
Model Madness 2019 - The EDM Bracket (Part 2)
Today, we are continuing with the analysis of the NCAA Division 1 Tournament bracket through the lens of the Estimated Difference Model. This is a continuation of yesterday's analysis. Last time, we covered
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statsplit
model-madness
2019-03-19 01:53
Model Madness 2019 - The EDM Bracket (Part 1)
This week, I'm going to analyze the bracket from the perspective of my best model, the Estimated Difference Model (EDM). We'll go region by region, round by round, picking some teams, performing some analysis
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statsplit
model-madness
2019-03-17 21:43
Model Madness 2019 - Conference Championship Results, Simple Composite Model
Today is Selection Sunday. It is the most important day in college basketball and the day when we finally get a chance to look at the overall bracket and begin using the models that have been developed
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statsplit
model-madness
2019-03-11 23:23
Model Madness 2019 - Estimated Difference Likelihood Model
There is less than a week until Selection Sunday when the group of 68 teams is finalized for this year's NCAA Division I college basketball championship. Which means I only have a few more sets of games
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statsplit
model-madness
2019-03-08 03:28
Model Madness 2019 - Margin Adjusted SPM
Now that we have a small collection of models, we can give one of them a little upgrade. Last time, I introduced the schedule plus-minus which looked at a team's resume and determined a team's quality
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