公园里偶遇一只黑天鹅幼崽，小小一只，绒毛浅灰色。它的好奇心写满全身，遇到漂浮的草叶、掠过的水纹，都要伸着黑喙轻啄，身后那只成年黑天鹅始终半步不离，或护在身侧，或跟在身后，天然就给小家伙围了个安全圈。 忽然发现小家伙只用一条腿划水，另一条腿藏在绒毛下，不禁有点紧张。后来特意AI了一下，许是幼崽体力未足，以此来休息或调整姿势，这模样，倒和成年天鹅单腿站着休息的懒样子挺像，还挺有意思。

Welcome back, I hope by now everyone must have seen the recent market liquidation. I think it was one of the biggest bloodbaths in the last few years. I do not know if I should call it a black swan event

在城市中，有这样一处角落，能让我们暂别喧嚣，与自然相拥。 驻足按岸边，看鸭子们或悠然游戏，划开圈圈涟漪；或在岸边踱步、梳理羽毛，自在又惬意。那只橘猫，要么在树荫下酣睡，享受着阳光与微风的轻抚；要么静静望着水边的鸭子，眼神里满是好奇，像是在研究这些 “水中邻居” 的生活日常。黑天鹅姿态优雅地在水面游动，如黑色的精灵，为这片水域增添了几分灵动与神秘。

I've been strangely disconnected by this subject and only had contact with it from others talking about it. The interesting part is the more people talk the more fuzzy it becomes. Maybe on purpose, to

We witnessed the ultimate bleeding in crypto market in last two to three days and there were some good things that happened during this dump as well as some bad things that happened for all of us. The

Apologies to everyone that took me at my word and bought Bitcoin at the doubling line. The stock market is fucked. This is far from over. Now that the bottom has fallen out from Bitcoin there is absolutely

Trump is continually making the point that the stock market is up, NASDAQ is up and the economy is doing fantastic, he is using all the [DS] [CB] weapons against them and stopping the [DS][CB] from bringing

It was Nassim Nicholas Taleb's The Black Swan back in 2007. Someone left it in the dormitory's toilet, so I read it while I was doing my business. Fun fact: this was right after having my final rounds

Incerto 在意大利语、拉丁语和葡萄牙语中都有“不确定”的意思，塔勒布借此作为自己作品集合的统称。 INCERTO 包括非技术卷和技术卷两部分。 非技术卷(the non-technical Incerto)目前包括五部，均已出版： Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets（2001） The

这一篇的内容主要来自维基词条 Nassim Nicholas Taleb - Wikipedia 纳西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布，生于 1960 年，黎巴嫩裔美国人，散文家，学者，数据科学家，前交易员和风险分析师，关注随机性（randomness）、概率（probability）和不确定性（uncertainty）。其作品《黑天鹅》被星期日泰晤士报（The Sunday Times） 评价为二战以来最具影响力的

You can see black swans in Western Australia. Steepshot | IPFS | Google Play

비상식적으로 움직여라 인공지능 시대니, 빅데이터 시대니 말이 많다. 다들 인공지능 퍼스트를 외치고 빅데이터 사이언스를 부르짖는다. 인공지능 비서가 대세라고 하고 빅데이터가 21세기 석유라고 한다. 인공지능이나 빅데이터가 없이는 아무것도 못할 것처럼 온통 난리다. 쏠림이 극심하다. 한발 비켜서서 반대 방향을 바라볼 수 있어야 한다. 극심한 쏠림이 전멸을 초래할

missing summer time. beautiful lakes and chirping birds 💛

- 블랙스완 수치 평균 상단 - 2017년 12월 1일부터 변동성 구간 진입, 변동성 전략 가동 슈퍼자금 적극적 매매 (월 단위 시그널 발생) 여부 : NO! 슈퍼 적극적 매매 구간 (YES) : 피라미딩 1회 진입 최대 7%, 양매수 최대 30% (당해 년도 수익 기준 +알파) 슈퍼 적극적 매매 구간 (YES) : 포지션 및 전용 피라미딩 전략 가동 슈퍼

Just thinking to myself after re-reading Isaac Asimov's Foundation Series. The tug-of-war between Hari Seldon's god-like predictions and the unexpected character, The Mule, kind of reminds me of Bitcoin

It has been an interesting time for Bitcoin lovers, but right now something big has happened and I don't find many informed news on the internet, so I decided to share my views. What has happened in the

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Some of us think that wealthy, hidden families rule the world. I'd say that we rely on data and numbers too much. But there are just certain forces in this world that you just can't anticipate all that

The world is partly made of words and ideas. For that, I think futurists are relevant parties to engage with to future-proof companies and organisations. In a way, everybody's shaping the future together,